arXivpreprint
Alireza Roustazadeh · Behzad Ghanbarian · Mohammad B. Shadmand +2 authors
With recent advances in artificial intelligence, machine learning (ML) approaches have become an attractive tool in petroleum engineering, particularly for reservoir characterizations. A key reservoir property is hydrocarbon recovery factor (RF) whose accurate estimation would provide decisive insights to drilling and production strategies. Therefore, this study aims to estimate the hydrocarbon RF for exploration from various reservoir characteristics, such as porosity, permeability, pressure, and water saturation via the ML. We applied three regression-based models including the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), support vector machine (SVM), and stepwise multiple linear regression (MLR) and various combinations of three databases to construct ML models and estimate the oil and/or gas RF. Using two databases and the cross-validation method, we evaluated the performance of the ML models. In each iteration 90 and 10% of the data were respectively used to train and test the models. The third independent database was then used to further assess the constructed models. For both oil and gas RFs, we found that the XGBoost model estimated the RF for the train and test datasets more accurately than the SVM and MLR models. However, the performance of all the models were unsatisfactory for the independent databases. Results demonstrated that the ML algorithms were highly dependent and sensitive to the databases based on which they were trained. Statistical tests revealed that such unsatisfactory performances were because the distributions of input features and target variables in the train datasets were significantly different from those in the independent databases (p-value < 0.05).
arXivpreprint
I. Chittumuri · N. Alshehab · R. J. Voss +6 authors
This paper presents a risk analysis of flowlines in the oil and gas sector using Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and machine learning (ML). Flowlines, vital conduits transporting oil, gas, and water from wellheads to surface facilities, often face under-assessment compared to transmission pipelines. This study addresses this gap using advanced tools to predict and mitigate failures, improving environmental safety and reducing human exposure. Extensive datasets from the Colorado Energy and Carbon Management Commission (ECMC) were processed through spatial matching, feature engineering, and geometric extraction to build robust predictive models. Various ML algorithms, including logistic regression, support vector machines, gradient boosting decision trees, and K-Means clustering, were used to assess and classify risks, with ensemble classifiers showing superior accuracy, especially when paired with Principal Component Analysis (PCA) for dimensionality reduction. Finally, a thorough data analysis highlighted spatial and operational factors influencing risks, identifying high-risk zones for focused monitoring. Overall, the study demonstrates the transformative potential of integrating GIS and ML in flowline risk management, proposing a data-driven approach that emphasizes the need for accurate data and refined models to improve safety in petroleum extraction.
arXivpreprint
Dylan Radovic · Lucas Kruitwagen · Christian Schroeder de Witt +3 authors
The energy transition potentially poses an existential risk for major international oil companies (IOCs) if they fail to adapt to low-carbon business models. Projections of energy futures, however, are met with diverging assumptions on its scale and pace, causing disagreement among IOC decision-makers and their stakeholders over what the business model of an incumbent fossil fuel company should be. In this work, we used deep multi-agent reinforcement learning to solve an energy systems wargame wherein players simulate IOC decision-making, including hydrocarbon and low-carbon investments decisions, dividend policies, and capital structure measures, through an uncertain energy transition to explore critical and non-linear governance questions, from leveraged transitions to reserve replacements. Adversarial play facilitated by state-of-the-art algorithms revealed decision-making strategies robust to energy transition uncertainty and against multiple IOCs. In all games, robust strategies emerged in the form of low-carbon business models as a result of early transition-oriented movement. IOCs adopting such strategies outperformed business-as-usual and delayed transition strategies regardless of hydrocarbon demand projections. In addition to maximizing value, these strategies benefit greater society by contributing substantial amounts of capital necessary to accelerate the global low-carbon energy transition. Our findings point towards the need for lenders and investors to effectively mobilize transition-oriented finance and engage with IOCs to ensure responsible reallocation of capital towards low-carbon business models that would enable the emergence of fossil fuel incumbents as future low-carbon leaders.
arXivpreprint
Jimmy Xuekai Li · Tiancheng Zhang · Yiran Zhu +1 authors
Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is set to profoundly impact the oil and gas industry by introducing unprecedented efficiencies and innovations. This paper explores AGI's foundational principles and its transformative applications, particularly focusing on the advancements brought about by large language models (LLMs) and extensive computer vision systems in the upstream sectors of the industry. The integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) has already begun reshaping the oil and gas landscape, offering enhancements in production optimization, downtime reduction, safety improvements, and advancements in exploration and drilling techniques. These technologies streamline logistics, minimize maintenance costs, automate monotonous tasks, refine decision-making processes, foster team collaboration, and amplify profitability through error reduction and actionable insights extraction. Despite these advancements, the deployment of AI technologies faces challenges, including the necessity for skilled professionals for implementation and the limitations of model training on constrained datasets, which affects the models' adaptability across different contexts. The advent of generative AI, exemplified by innovations like ChatGPT and the Segment Anything Model (SAM), heralds a new era of high-density innovation. These developments highlight a shift towards natural language interfaces and domain-knowledge-driven AI, promising more accessible and tailored solutions for the oil and gas industry. This review articulates the vast potential AGI holds for tackling complex operational challenges within the upstream oil and gas industry, requiring near-human levels of intelligence. We discussed the promising applications, the hurdles of large-scale AGI model deployment, and the necessity for domain-specific knowledge in maximizing the benefits of these technologies.
arXivpreprint
Hellockston Gomes de Brito · Carla Wilza Souza de Paula Maitelli · Osvaldo Chiavone-Filho
Oil and gas reserves are vital resources for the global economy, serving as key components in transportation, energy production, and industrial processes. However, oil and gas extraction and production operations may encounter several challenges, such as pipeline and production line blockages, caused by factors including sediment accumulation, wax deposition, mineral scaling, and corrosion. This study addresses these challenges by employing supervised machine learning techniques, specifically decision trees, the k-Nearest Neighbors (k-NN) algorithm (k-NN), and the Naive Bayes classifier method, to detect and mitigate flow assurance challenges, ensuring efficient fluid transport. The primary focus is on preventing gas hydrate formation in oil production systems. To achieve this, data preprocessing and cleaning were conducted to ensure the quality and consistency of the dataset, which was sourced from Petrobras publicly available 3W project repository on GitHub. The scikit-learn Python library, a widely recognized open-source tool for supervised machine learning techniques, was utilized for classification tasks due to its robustness and versatility. The results demonstrate that the proposed methodology effectively classifies hydrate formation under operational conditions, with the decision tree algorithm exhibiting the highest predictive accuracy (99.99 percent). Consequently, this approach provides a reliable solution for optimizing production efficiency.
arXivpreprint
Robin Spanier · Thorsten Hoeser · John Truckenbrodt +2 authors
The increasing use of marine spaces by offshore infrastructure, including oil and gas platforms, underscores the need for consistent, scalable monitoring. Offshore development has economic, environmental, and regulatory implications, yet maritime areas remain difficult to monitor systematically due to their inaccessibility and spatial extent. This study presents an automated approach to the spatiotemporal detection of offshore oil and gas platforms based on freely available Earth observation data. Leveraging Sentinel-1 archive data and deep learning-based object detection, a consistent quarterly time series of platform locations for three major production regions: the North Sea, the Gulf of Mexico, and the Persian Gulf, was created for the period 2017-2025. In addition, platform size, water depth, distance to the coast, national affiliation, and installation and decommissioning dates were derived. 3,728 offshore platforms were identified in 2025, 356 in the North Sea, 1,641 in the Gulf of Mexico, and 1,731 in the Persian Gulf. While expansion was observed in the Persian Gulf until 2024, the Gulf of Mexico and the North Sea saw a decline in platform numbers from 2018-2020. At the same time, a pronounced dynamic was apparent. More than 2,700 platforms were installed or relocated to new sites, while a comparable number were decommissioned or relocated. Furthermore, the increasing number of platforms with short lifespans points to a structural change in the offshore sector associated with the growing importance of mobile offshore units such as jack-ups or drillships. The results highlighted the potential of freely available Earth observation data and deep learning for consistent, long-term monitoring of marine infrastructure. The derived dataset is public and provides a basis for offshore monitoring, maritime planning, and analyses of the transformation of the offshore energy sector.
arXivpreprint
AbdulQoyum A. Olowookere · Adewale U. Oguntola · Ebenezer. Leke Odekanle
Early detection of energy losses, theft, and operational inefficiencies remains a critical challenge in oil and gas production systems due to complex interdependencies among wells and facilities, evolving operating conditions, and limited labeled anomaly data. Traditional machine learning approaches often treat production units independently and struggle under temporal distribution shifts. This study proposes a spatiotemporal graph-based deep learning framework for anomaly detection in oil and gas production networks. The production system is modeled as a hierarchical graph of wells, facilities, and fields, with additional peer connections among wells sharing common infrastructure. Weakly supervised anomaly labels are derived from physically informed heuristics based on production, pressure, and flow behavior. Temporal dynamics are captured through sequence modeling, while relational dependencies are learned using a Temporal Graph Attention Network. Under time-based evaluation, the proposed model achieves an ROC-AUC of about 0.98 and anomaly recall above 0.93, demonstrating improved robustness and practical potential for proactive monitoring in real-world energy operations.
arXivpreprint
Carine Menezes Rebello · Johannes Jäschkea · Idelfonso B. R. Nogueira
The concept of creating a virtual copy of a complete Cyber-Physical System opens up numerous possibilities, including real-time assessments of the physical environment and continuous learning from the system to provide reliable and precise information. This process, known as the twinning process or the development of a digital twin (DT), has been widely adopted across various industries. However, challenges arise when considering the computational demands of implementing AI models, such as those employed in digital twins, in real-time information exchange scenarios. This work proposes a digital twin framework for optimal and autonomous decision-making applied to a gas-lift process in the oil and gas industry, focusing on enhancing the robustness and adaptability of the DT. The framework combines Bayesian inference, Monte Carlo simulations, transfer learning, online learning, and novel strategies to confer cognition to the DT, including model hyperdimensional reduction and cognitive tack. Consequently, creating a framework for efficient, reliable, and trustworthy DT identification was possible. The proposed approach addresses the current gap in the literature regarding integrating various learning techniques and uncertainty management in digital twin strategies. This digital twin framework aims to provide a reliable and efficient system capable of adapting to changing environments and incorporating prediction uncertainty, thus enhancing the overall decision-making process in complex, real-world scenarios. Additionally, this work lays the foundation for further developments in digital twins for process systems engineering, potentially fostering new advancements and applications across various industrial sectors.
arXivpreprint
Samuel Taiwo · Mohd Amaluddin Yusoff
Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) has emerged as a framework to address the constraints of Large Language Models (LLMs). Yet, its effectiveness fundamentally hinges on document chunking - an often-overlooked determinant of its quality. This paper presents an empirical study quantifying performance differences across four chunking strategies: fixed-size sliding window, recursive, breakpoint-based semantic, and structure-aware. We evaluated these methods using a proprietary corpus of oil and gas enterprise documents, including text-heavy manuals, table-heavy specifications, and piping and instrumentation diagrams (P and IDs). Our findings show that structure-aware chunking yields higher overall retrieval effectiveness, particularly in top-K metrics, and incurs significantly lower computational costs than semantic or baseline strategies. Crucially, all four methods demonstrated limited effectiveness on P and IDs, underscoring a core limitation of purely text-based RAG within visually and spatially encoded documents. We conclude that while explicit structure preservation is essential for specialised domains, future work must integrate multimodal models to overcome current limitations.
arXivpreprint
Paulo Roberto de Melo Barros Junior · Monica Alexandra Vilar Ribeiro De Meireles · Jose Luis Lima de Jesus Silva
Our work investigates the economic efficiency of the prevailing "ladder-step" investment strategy in oil and gas exploration, which advocates for the incremental acquisition of geological information throughout the project lifecycle. By employing a multi-agent Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) framework, we model an alternative strategy that prioritizes the early acquisition of high-quality information assets. We simulate the entire upstream value chain-comprising competitive bidding, exploration, and development phases-to evaluate the economic impact of this approach relative to traditional methods. Our results demonstrate that front-loading information investment significantly reduces the costs associated with redundant data acquisition and enhances the precision of reserve valuation. Specifically, we find that the alternative strategy outperforms traditional methods in highly competitive environments by mitigating the "winner's curse" through more accurate bidding. Furthermore, the economic benefits are most pronounced during the development phase, where superior data quality minimizes capital misallocation. These findings suggest that optimal investment timing is structurally dependent on market competition rather than solely on price volatility, offering a new paradigm for capital allocation in extractive industries.
arXivpreprint
Pratinav Seth · Michelle Lin · Brefo Dwamena Yaw +3 authors
Millions of abandoned oil and gas wells are scattered across the world, leaching methane into the atmosphere and toxic compounds into the groundwater. Many of these locations are unknown, preventing the wells from being plugged and their polluting effects averted. Remote sensing is a relatively unexplored tool for pinpointing abandoned wells at scale. We introduce the first large-scale benchmark dataset for this problem, leveraging medium-resolution multi-spectral satellite imagery from Planet Labs. Our curated dataset comprises over 213,000 wells (abandoned, suspended, and active) from Alberta, a region with especially high well density, sourced from the Alberta Energy Regulator and verified by domain experts. We evaluate baseline algorithms for well detection and segmentation, showing the promise of computer vision approaches but also significant room for improvement.
arXivpreprint
Juliana Jansen Ferreira · Vinícius Segura · Ana Fucs +1 authors
Sensemaking is a constant and ongoing process by which people associate meaning to experiences. It can be an individual process, known as abduction, or a group process by which people give meaning to collective experiences. The sensemaking of a group is influenced by the abduction process of each person about the experience. Every collaborative process needs some level of sensemaking to show results. For a knowledge intensive process, sensemaking is central and related to most of its tasks. We present findings from a fieldwork executed in knowledge intensive process from the Oil and Gas industry. Our findings indicated that different types of knowledge can be combined to compose the result of a sensemaking process (e.g. decision, the need for more discussion, etc.). This paper presents an initial set of knowledge types that can be combined to compose the result of the sensemaking of a collaborative decision making process. We also discuss ideas for using systems powered by Artificial Intelligence to support sensemaking processes.
athena.
A RESEARCH LIBRARY